18 May 2013

Life, Basketball, and Everything

By Shamus
Charlotte, NC

Among the various developments and stories coming out of the NBA playoffs this week, Kevin Durant’s comments following OKC’s elimination at the hands of Memphis probably stood out for me as the most thought provoking.

Miami took care of the depleted Chicago squad with relative ease, 4-1, and the Spurs moved on as well after handling Golden State 4-2. The Knickerbockers might still make some trouble for Indiana despite being down 3-2, although as always with New York much depends on their outside shooting, which has come and gone for them throughout the playoffs.

Meanwhile Memphis played especially well against the Russell Westbrook-less Thunder to advance to the WCF after winning the series 4-1. Key for the Grizzlies was being able repeatedly to slow down Durant in fourth quarters, the relative lack of other options for OKC making it easier for Memphis to do so.



Following the Thunder’s disappointing conclusion to their season, Durant was asked a question that alluded to a statement Kobe Bryant made a couple of years ago about the year being “wasted” when the Lakers were eliminated from the playoffs shy of winning a championship. Did Durant similarly think a second-round elimination meant the Thunder’s season had been “wasted”?

“Nothing’s ever a wasted year for me... it’s basketball,” was Durant’s reply. “I’ve grown so much as a man since the beginning of the season. I’ve grown so much as a leader. Nothing is ever wasted.”

Durant elaborated by saying how he felt “blessed” to be able to play a game that he loved for a living, noting how positive an experience it was to be able to “go through some tough times and laugh and argue” with his teammates and thus benefit and learn from the experience. A refreshingly non-standard response, I thought, revealing an understanding of the meaning of sports that went beyond the usual gladiator-speak we’ve grown to expect from professional athletes.

Perhaps sensing a vulnerability in the response, a reporter followed up with a question asking Durant about the possibility of critics who might hear his words and thus “question his competitive fire.”

Durant did get a little fired up at that.

“I don’t give a damn,” Durant began. “I’m going to be who I’m going to be. I’m not Kobe Bryant. I’m not Michael Jordan. I’m not LeBron James. I’m not Magic Johnson. I’m me. I’m not going to ever compromise myself, my integrity and what I believe in for winning some basketball games and winning a championship. That’s just not I how I was brought up.”

Durant’s comments have earned some scrutiny over the last couple of days, with a lot of the usually obtuse commentary from pundits mindlessly echoing the “winning isn’t everything, it’s the only thing” mantra they’ve heard from coaches and players ever since Vince Lombardi first popularized the statement nearly a half-century ago. (Lombardi wasn’t the first to utter the quote, incidentally.)

It’s utter heresy for some to imagine professional athletes being motivated to play their sports for any reason other than to win games and championships. The issue instinctively makes me think of former UNC basketball coach Dean Smith -- who always saw sports and their significance as occurring within a broader context -- and his great line about what it means to treat every game as if it were a matter of life and death.

“If you make every game a life-and-death thing, you’re going to have problems,” said Smith, adding that, for one thing, “you’ll be dead a lot.”

The whole idea of a game or season being a “waste” if not ending successfully makes me want to compare the relative significance of the lives being led by players and coaches and the ones lived by those who watch them.

Is it a “waste” to watch our favorite team play and lose? Hardly. And indeed, I think when most players talk about a season being “wasted” or a “failure” or choose other similar language with which to dismiss their efforts they are necessarily engaging in a kind of temporary fiction-making (purposeful or otherwise), saying what is expected of them and not what we all really know is the truth.

I think one primary attraction of sports -- for players and fans alike -- is the way they do tend to provide what often seems like unambiguous meaning to our lives in the form of wins and losses. There’s no denying that a victory at the end of game absolutely determines the meaning of everything that happened along the way, as does a loss. It’s a simpler version of existence, if you think about it, which otherwise never makes sense in such obvious ways.

I appreciate Durant’s willingness to point out that life is more complicated than some seem to want to believe.

Shamus is the author of the Hard-Boiled Poker blog.

17 May 2013

Hockey Fights: The Ottawa Senators vs. The Philadelphia Flyers

By StB
Milwaukee, WI

NHL fans are the opposite. They expect a wall in front of the net and a guy who will fly down the ice and score. But that doesn't mean they don't like a good fight. Or a dozen good fights. 

This battle seemed to continue once they started. It is some good editing so it is hard to tell how the timeline played out. But let's take a good look at the action.


First Brashear bloodies up Ray. The announcers try to claim it was caused by a shot on the helmet but I see two good downward punches that could have easily ripped open the skin by his eye. Brashear with an easy victory here.

Because of the editing it is hard to tell if this happens about the time Ray skated off to see a needle and thread but let's play along. Not sure who is trying to wrap his throws around a ref but I wouldn't recommend that. Hit the ref and you are in big trouble. But it does appear that Brashear is one of the guys being pulled to the ice and then gets tagged by Simpson. Seems petty on Simpson's part. Too bad we don't see what led to the continuation of the brawl.

Wait, that makes it sound like it is over. The Flyer goalie barely gets involved with the fray but that can only mean one thing. The Senators goalie has to join in the fracas! He flies down the ice and they go at it. Goalie fight are like the icing on the cake. I give the Senators goalie the slight nod.

The camera then pans up to the top corner where it looks like a lot slapping from the Senator on the Flyer. We may have missed the real action there Whoever the Senator is, it looks like he slings a mean purse!

Just when it looks like things are settled down, the gloves get dropped after a face off. Again, we do not know if this is all one continuous battle but I like to go with the flow and think it is. Plus I went and got some popcorn. A mean stiff jab sends the Flyer to the cold surface. The refs move in to separate them.

Wait, two more fights have broken out?!?!?!? This is total chaos! We get to watch more of a wrestling match than anything. It was close to a Thai clinch so I was expecting to see a knee meet the guy's jaw. That had me wondering...at what point will we see a hockey fight involving some MMA?

On the next jump we get another couple punches thrown just after the face off. The Senator is punching away and twists the Flyer to the ground. But he pops back up to throw some punches of his own until he gets hip tossed to the ice.

The next one is kinda quick. A full on tackle and plant to the ice. The ref goes for the pin. 1..2..3!

Good thing he covers those guys so two old men can battle near center ice. You know they are running out of players when two old farts who probably rarely see ice time get out there. They probably fought for old time sake and to see their names in the box score. It is amusing because it looks like the Flyer is beating him with a cane. Oh wait, it is likely a brace that came off his arm but he still tries to use it as a weapon. They soon tire out and slow dance, waiting for the refs to get them oxygen.

Another face off and a Superman punch! Bam, bam, bam! The Senator gets off 3 big pops in a row. He pays the price because once the Flyer got him down he delivered 3 of his own.

And then...wait, its over??? 10 fights that we were able to follow. Amazing. I don't know about you but I am spent after watching that.

15 May 2013

NHL Betting: Avoid The Coin Flip Mentality

By Buffalo66
Buffalo, NY

I was checking out my NHL playoffs betting stats (all wagers one unit) and was shocked to find myself at 4-9-1.  I was even more shocked to find myself down only 2.59 units. How can this be? Welcome to the wacky world of pucks, where losing streaks don't mean much on paper.

The NHL playoffs offer a great opportunity to get into hockey wagering.  The 16 best teams fighting for the Stanley Cup.  All of the games are televised and spread out on the schedule, which offers value all the way to the finals.

Most bettors (especially NBA & NFL punters) are used to the basic point spread wager: Team A +4 or Team B -4.  Both sides pay -110.  It's just a decision of which side to take.  This is also the basic definition of coin flip mentality: Viewing a wager as a 50/50 proposition.

More advanced bettors know that sometimes money line wagers offer better value.  In the NHL it is no different.  In my opinion, one advantage NHL punters have is that the lines rarely move.  Since there is less money pouring in to change the board, paying attention to lineup changes can put huge dogs in play for you.

With the straight wagers your team just has to win by one goal.  You would think that most games are decided by one in the NHL.  However, on average less than 33% of regular season games are one goal affairs.  The playoffs are slightly higher since only the best teams play.

The number of one goal games by individual teams is directly correlated to offensive output.  Simply put, the teams with the power house offenses have the least one goal games. Those are the teams you look to for point spread bets.

NHL books use a point spread similar to MLB.  Instead of the run line, it's called the puck line.  This wager offers superior value if you think the favorite will win by 2.  Winning by two can often involve the dreaded empty net goal.  Anyone who wagers hockey will tell you that last minute of regulation is a pure shot of adrenaline to an action junkie.


If you see a puck line favorite you like, I'd expect to get at least +200 or better if you're going to risk a 2 goal win.  Conversely, if you like a dog to keep it a one goal game, look for -200 or better.

NHL also offers regulation time wagers.  This allows you get a better line if you think the game will end without overtime.  It's a wager to consider if you really like a side, but aren't sure they can get it done by 2 goals.

As for totals, you can play over/under or team totals.  If the game is expected to be wide open, look for some value on the over.  Anytime a goalie gets hot, look for the under.

A big factor to consider in betting totals is a healthy defensive corps.  Teams dress 6 D-men and they all play significant minutes.  Losing any one of them can impact the true line, whether sides or totals.

I strongly suggest you give NHL betting a try.  With the playoffs, any beginner can study just one series.  There is enough on the wagering menu to offer some value in almost every game.


A little luck doesn't hurt either.


Buffalo66 is a professional sports bettor and one of the most feared opponents in daily fantasy sports.

12 May 2013

Bronx Bums: 5/12 Report - First Place Yanks

By Pauly
Los Angeles, CA

The Walking Wounded

Something bizarre happened. The banged-up Yankees seized first place in the AL East after Boston got bogged down in a mini-losing streak. Even without $100+ million worth of their top-shelf talent, the Yanks have sole possession of first place and are 10 games over .500.

The Yankees (23-13) won both series on the road this week in Colorado (2 out of 3) and Kansas City (3-game sweep). Overall, the Yanks notched 8 series wins and only lost 4. Since losing their first two series to start the season, the Yanks won an impressive 8 out of their last 10 series.

After dropping the opening game in Colorado (when the Yanks bats went silent once again and suffering their third shut out for the season), the Yanks bounced back and won the next two games. The Yanks left the Mile High City with a 20-13 record and snuck into first place.

The Yanks arrived in Kansas City and promptly whooped the Royals on Friday night. More good news for Phil Hughes. He won his second straight start and evened his record to 2-2 after an ugly start to the season (he gave up 5 dingers in his first 14 innings). Andy Pettitte (4-2) struggled in his two previous outings but on Saturday he regained his composure and scattered five hits over seven solid innings. On Sunday, the Yanks completed a sweep in a game against a formidable pitcher in Ervin Santana (3-1 and 2.36 ERA). Hiroki Kuroda gave up an early run, but Cano and Wells hit back-to-back homeruns to put the Yanks ahead 3-1. The Yank won 4-2 for their fifth consecutive victory. Mo Rivera shut the door in the ninth for his 15th save (in 15 attempts), which tied him for tops in all of baseball with Jason Grilli (Pittsburgh).

The key to the surprising success of the beat-up Yanks is their solid pitching. CC, Kuroda, and Pettitte consistently give them quality starts and Phil Hughes is finally coming around. Plus, Mo Rivera has been a beast out of the bullpen (it won't happen, but Mo's on pace for 60+ saves). 

Skipper Joe Girardi's biggest headache seems is the boisterous Joba Chamberlin, who got into an unusual pissing match with Mo in front of the press on Saturday. The Yanks bent over backwards to accommodate the troubled Chamberlin and even instituted the controversial "Joba Rules" to curtail his usage and prolong his career. The results have been less than stellar.

Joba bugging out in the playoffs

Joba Chamberlin has the skills to be a all-star closer, but he lacks emotionally maturity. I can't help but wonder if this incident is a part of a deeper schism between Joba and the rest of the team. We shall see if Chamberlin's irreverent behavior gives the Yankees brass a reason to dump him at the end of the season. If Chamberlin is the bad seed, then it's wiser to buy a hired gun on the free agent market to replace Mo after he retires.

One of my biggest concerns about the Yankees is the lack of production and the inability to manufacture runs outside of the long ball. The Yanks run differential is very low compared to other division leaders:
RUN DIFFERENTIAL (AMONG DIVISION LEADERS): 
AL East: Yanks +19
AL Central: Detroit +53
AL West: TIE -- Texas +40 and Cleveland +29
NL East: Atlanta +21
NL Central: St. Louis +42
NL West: San Francisco +19
The Yanks primary problem is lack of run production. In their previous six losses, the Yankees scored fewer than 1 run in five of those six games. They got lucky this week and won three games in which they only scored three runs. The Yanks are flirting with disaster by relying solely on their pitching. They can only win so many 3-2 and 3-1 games before the pack catches up to them. The Yanks are an astonishing 12-0 when they score 5 or more runs, yet only 11-13 when they score 4 or fewer runs.

The Skinny:  Even with a sub-par offense, thru 36 games the Yankees are 23-13 and reigning in first place in the AL East with Baltimore (23-15) and Boston (22-16) nipping at their heels. Considering the abundance of injuries to starters, the Yanks are damn lucky to be where they are. Since starting the season 5-5, the Yankees are 18-8. Over the last 16 games, the Yankees are 12-4.

Injury Report: The Yanks added another player to the disabled list -- shortstop Eddie Nunez -- who has a gnarly ribcage injury. Nunez, a utility infielder by trade, was Derek Jeter's back-up last year until he got the starting job this season. Jayson Nix, who was filling in for A-Roid, moved from 3B to SS. In the meantime, Chris Nelson is now playing the hot corner and Alberto Gonzalez (recently acquired in a trade with the Cubbies) was called up from AAA to fill the role as utility infielder.

On Deck: The Yanks give up a day off and fly to Cleveland for a double-header to make up for two consecutive rainouts from last month. Cleveland (20-15) is hot and won 12 out of heir last 14 games. Their torrid streak propelled them into a tied for first with Detroit. It's safe to say the Indians are playing significantly much better than when the Yanks beat them twice earlier in the season. On Tuesday, the Yanks (12-7 at home) return to the Bronx for a six-game homestand against Seattle (18-20) and Toronto (15-24). Seattle is sitting in third place in the AL West, while Toronto (7-12 at home) is rocking the AL East cellar. The Yanks are 6-1 against Toronto this year including a four-game sweep in the Bronx at the end of April.

11 May 2013

Tapping a Beer: Brewers Get Flipped the Bird

By StB
Milwaukee, WI

Doom set in the moment John Axford gave up the two-run dinger to Pittsburgh. It was a sign that the weekend was going to be a humbling one. The Cardinals seemed happy to make the point sweeping a 4-game series at Miller Park.

The Brewers seemed to find ways to lose at times. Giving up the big inning, making the untimely error, hitting into inning ending double plays. It was repeated all weekend until the Cards gave them a thumping on Sunday to put them out of their misery.


The view was good on Saturday, but they play on the field didn't measure up.

The Texas Rangers come to town on Tuesday. The Brewers should have Aramis Ramirez back at third base soon. For once in his career he had a good start to the season. I hope he doesn't fall back into his spring funk after missing a couple of weeks. Having declined minor league rehab, it feels like a certainty.