16 February 2013

Cold Teams: Charlotte Bobkittens

By Pauly
Los Angeles, CA

Charlotte Bobcats' halftime show

Betting on the NBA is a real ball buster. We had a rough season thus far, but if it weren't for a couple of really bad teams, like the Charlotte Bobcats (a.k.a. Bobkittens, Boobcats), we'd be in really bad shape.

It's the NBA All-Star Break, which is the perfect time to reflect upon the first half of the season. We made a few mistakes along the way, but the Charlotte Bobkittens kept us out of the gutter. Before the season began, I had a mantra: Fade the Bobkittens. It's foolish to blindly bet any trend, but this one ended up being a profitable venture.

At the break, the Bobkittens are 12-40 overall and 19-32-1 ATS. If you wagered $100 (with usual 10% vig) on every game fading the Bobkittens, that you'd now have $1,110.

We like to find a bad team and take advantage of their ineptitude. We turned a profit in 2010-11 season fading the Washington Wizards on the road. In the shortened 2011-12 season, we were printing money by fading Charlotte as they ended up with the worst record in the league.

This season, the Bobkittens have been atrocious. Shamus wrote a great piece -- The Bobcats' Blues -- explaining the ups and downs of a Charlotte Bobcats fan. During the Christmas break, the Bobkittens showed a glimmer of hope when they ended their 18-game losing streak. They were 3-7 straight up during a two-week stretch, but went 5-4-1 ATS in that clip. But just when the Bobkittens looked like they were showing signs of life, they reverted back to their old habits and stumbled into the break 4-9 ATS over their last 13 games.
Top 7 Worst NBA Teams ATS:
1. Charlotte 19-32-1
2. L.A. Lakers 21-32-1
3. Phoenix 21-32-1
4. Sacramento 22-30-2
5. Chicago 22-30
6. Orlando 22-29-1
7. Portland 22-29-2

Top 7 Best NBA Teams ATS:
1. Washington 31-18-2
2. Oklahoma City 31-20-2
3. Denver 32-22
4. San Antonio 30-22-2
5. Memphis 29-21-1
6. Dallas 30-22
7. New Orleans 30-23

Top 5 OVER Teams:
1. Golden State 33-18-1
2. Denver  33-21
3. Dallas 32-19-1
4. Sacramento 31-22-1
5. Houston  31-24

Top 5 UNDER Teams:
1. Indiana 31-21-1
2. Chicago 30-22
3. Washington 29-20-2
4. Memphis 29-21-1
5. Brooklyn 29-23-1

Top 5 HOME Teams (S/U):
1. Miami 23-3
2. San Antonio 22-2
3. Oklahoma City 23-4
4. Denver 22-3
5. Indiana 21-5
5. L.A. Clippers 21-5

Top 5 BEST Teams on NO REST (S/U):
1. Miami 6-1
2. Indiana 10-5
3. Oklahoma City 6-3
4. San Antonio 8-4
5. LA Clippers 9-5

Top 5 WORST Teams on NO REST (S/U):
1. Phoenix 2-11
2. Washington 2-11
3. Philadelphia 2-10
4. Cleveland 3-13
5. Charlotte 3-10

Top 5 Teams After a Loss (S/U):
1. Oklahoma City 11-2
2. San Antonio 10-2
3. Miami 11-3
4. Chicago 16-5
5. New York 12-5

In the second half of the season, you might want to keep an eye on a the bottom feeders in the NBA. There's rules against tanking and the lottery is set up to prevent teams from blowing games late in the season. If any of the worst teams in the NBA get off to a slow start in the second half, you can expect them to give up completely and phone-in the rest of the season while they hope to strike it big in the lottery. Those teams are perfect targets especially when the play on the road.
Worst NBA Teams By Record:
Charlotte 12-40 (.231)
Orlando 15-37 (.288)
Washington 15-36 (.294)
Cleveland 16-37 (.302)
Phoenix 17-36 (.321)
Sacramento 19-35 (.352)
New Orleans 19-34 (.358)
Minnesota 19-31 (.380)

Worst Road Records Among Bottom Feeders:
Washington 4-22 **
Sacramento 5-23
Phoenix 5-23
Charlotte 5-21
Orlando 6-19
Cleveland 7-21
Minnesota 7-18
New Orleans 10-19
** The Wiz cannot win on the road, but they always seem to blow leads late in the game, yet they still manage to backdoor a cover. They're a much better team with John Wall in the lineup, but they might be the except to the rule.

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